Virtus Verona 0-2 Pro Sesto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.31
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Sesto EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / -10%
1.25/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.10
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Pro Sesto
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
24.10.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
02.04.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 2-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
30.11.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
16.04.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
12.12.2021 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
0-2
AWAY Pro Sesto
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 31
7 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Pro Sesto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Sesto saw off Virtus Verona 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Verona at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 44% of the ball to Pro Sesto's 56%, shots finished 14-31.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pro Sesto led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Virtus Verona and 0.80 for Pro Sesto.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Pro Sesto?

Virtus Verona 0-2 Pro Sesto in the Italy - Serie C on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Pro Sesto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 42%, draw 31%, Pro Sesto 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Virtus Verona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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