Vis Pesaro 0-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
0.93/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.33
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Perugia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
10.12.2023 Perugia Perugia 2-2 HT 2-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
21.02.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
25.10.2020 Perugia Perugia 2-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
0-0
AWAY Perugia
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro and Perugia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 56% of the ball to Perugia's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vis Pesaro and 1.25 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?

Vis Pesaro 0-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 40%, draw 26%, Perugia 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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