Picerno 2-0 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.97/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.54
+13% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
2W-4D-0L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 2-2 HT 0-2 Picerno Picerno İTC
20.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
08.04.2023 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
04.12.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
30.01.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
26.09.2021 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
2-0
AWAY ACR Messina
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Picerno vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno beat ACR Messina 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Picerno had 51% of the ball to ACR Messina's 49%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Picerno and 0.83 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Picerno vs ACR Messina?

Picerno 2-0 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Picerno 54%, draw 29%, ACR Messina 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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