ACR Messina 2-2 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.11/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.68
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Picerno
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
08.04.2023 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
04.12.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
30.01.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
26.09.2021 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
2-2
AWAY Picerno
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina and Picerno shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACR Messina had 61% of the ball to Picerno's 39%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for ACR Messina and 1.00 for Picerno.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Picerno?

ACR Messina 2-2 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 33%, draw 28%, Picerno 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
25 Feb 2024
16:00 Pro Patria vs Renate Analysis →
16:00 Olbia 1905 vs Gubbio Analysis →
16:00 Virtus Entella vs Fermana Analysis →
17:00 Cesena vs Pineto Analysis →
18:00 Vicenza vs Triestina Analysis →
18:15 Novara vs Mantova Analysis →