Virtus Entella 1-1 Fermana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-15.9pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fermana EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.85/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.69
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Fermana
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Fermana Fermana 0-2 HT 0-2 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
04.02.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-0 HT 0-0 Fermana Fermana İTC
09.10.2022 Fermana Fermana 0-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
23.04.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-1 HT 1-0 Fermana Fermana İTC
19.12.2021 Fermana Fermana 1-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-1
AWAY Fermana
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Fermana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella and Fermana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 46% of the ball to Fermana's 54%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.40 for Fermana.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Fermana?

Virtus Entella 1-1 Fermana in the Italy - Serie C on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Fermana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 53%, draw 28%, Fermana 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Entella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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