Olbia 1905 1-2 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.18
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.85
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olbia 1905
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gubbio
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
04.03.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 0-1 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
29.10.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-3 HT 1-3 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
13.02.2022 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
03.10.2021 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olbia 1905
1-2
AWAY Gubbio
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olbia 1905 vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio squeezed past Olbia 1905 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gubbio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olbia 1905 had 58% of the ball to Gubbio's 42%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Olbia 1905 and 1.00 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Olbia 1905 vs Gubbio?

Olbia 1905 1-2 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olbia 1905 vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olbia 1905 29%, draw 25%, Gubbio 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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