Pro Patria 1-3 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.98
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.10/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Renate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Renate Renate 1-2 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
29.01.2023 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.09.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
20.03.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
14.11.2021 Renate Renate 4-1 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
14.02.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-3
AWAY Renate
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate saw off Pro Patria 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Renate made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Patria had 47% of the ball to Renate's 53%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pro Patria and 1.00 for Renate.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Renate?

Pro Patria 1-3 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 37%, draw 30%, Renate 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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