Cesena 2-0 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
73%
-3.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.5pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.26/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.28
+28% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +33%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pineto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
2-0
AWAY Pineto
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena saw off Pineto 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Cesena had 55% of the ball to Pineto's 45%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Pineto?

Cesena 2-0 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Cesena 69%, draw 20%, Pineto 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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