30/09/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Lucchese vs Milan II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
29%
Draw
30%
33%
Away Win
31%
58%
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 2.5
42%
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
53%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lucchese v Milan II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lucchese
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Milan II
EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
1.36/1.27
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+12%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+16%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
292 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
Lucchese 1-1 Milan II — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Lucchese
1-1
AWAY
Milan II
63%
Ball Possession
37%
7
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
POST-MATCH
Lucchese vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lucchese and Milan II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lucchese had 63% of the ball to Milan II's 37%, shots finished 7-10.
What was the final score of Lucchese vs Milan II?
Lucchese 1-1 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Milan II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 38%, draw 29%, Milan II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lucchese), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Lucchese)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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30 Sep 2024