Eibar (K) 1-2 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.98/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.63
-49% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.0 Crosses 15.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.69 xG 1.24
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
158 Passes 412
60% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
09.03.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Eibar (K) Eibar (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
1-2
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.14 xG 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
193 Passes 298
61% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) nicked a narrow win over Eibar (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Madrid CFF (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 43% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 57%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.14 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eibar (K) and 1.50 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Eibar (K) 1-2 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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