San Miguel 2-1 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.9pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 24%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.51
+57% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.08.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
07.04.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 3-2 HT 2-2 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel nicked a narrow win over Tristan Suarez 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Miguel had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Miguel and 1.50 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Tristan Suarez?

San Miguel 2-1 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 48%, draw 33%, Tristan Suarez 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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