San Miguel 3-2 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel nicked a narrow win over Tristan Suarez 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; San Miguel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Tristan Suarez?

San Miguel 3-2 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 40%, draw 34%, Tristan Suarez 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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