Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+5.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-5.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.6pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.13/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.31
-12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alvarado
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
17.07.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 3-2 HT 1-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy squeezed past Alvarado 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Jujuy as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Alvarado?

Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 51%, draw 28%, Alvarado 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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