San Martin Tucuman 3-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
39%
3.04
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
39%
Draw
29%
+9.2pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.23/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/0.75
-5% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
25.04.2009 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJ
25.10.2008 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman swept aside Arsenal Sarandi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 39% / 20% — and on the day San Martin Tucuman made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.50 for Arsenal Sarandi.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Arsenal Sarandi?

San Martin Tucuman 3-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 41%, draw 39%, Arsenal Sarandi 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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