Deportivo Madryn 2-0 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
1.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.55
-19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Almagro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
14.08.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn beat Almagro 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Almagro?

Deportivo Madryn 2-0 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 46%, draw 30%, Almagro 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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