Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

Ferro Carril Oeste
1-1 HT 0-1
Patronato
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferro Carril Oeste v Patronato — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.51/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.41
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Patronato
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
07.09.2015 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.04.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and Patronato couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Patronato led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.50 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 49%, draw 29%, Patronato 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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