Union Santa Fe 0-1 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
6.16
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.1
X/1
10%
5.6
X/2
9%
5.06
X/X
19%
3.31
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.98
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.1pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -30%
1.05/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.07
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
25.6 Crosses 21.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
202 Passes 369
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
12.04.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 5-1 HT 3-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
15.08.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
08.05.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
30.08.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
25.01.2020 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.70 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
365 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors nicked a narrow win over Union Santa Fe 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day Argentinos Juniors made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 50% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 50%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.70 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.50 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors?

Union Santa Fe 0-1 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 35%, draw 34%, Argentinos Juniors 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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