Union Santa Fe 3-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

Union Santa Fe
3-0 HT 2-0
Argentinos Juniors
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
1.36
Over 2.5
18%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
2.51
No
74%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
50%
1.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
9%
7.98
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.81 — our 50% vs market 47.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.34
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.05
X/1
9%
4.25
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
6.59
X/X
27%
3.04
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
7%
6.11
2/X
4%
16.65
Value flag · X/2 at 6.59 — our 22% vs market 10.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.2pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
82%
Under 2.5
70%
+12.2pp
18%
Over 2.5
30%
-12.2pp
26%
BTTS Yes
36%
-9.7pp
74%
BTTS No
64%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Argentinos Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.14/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
-18% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.8 Crosses 20.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 1.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
195 Passes 400
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 5-1 HT 3-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
15.08.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
08.05.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
30.08.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
25.01.2020 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
21.10.2018 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Union Santa Fe 3-0 Argentinos Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
3-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.76 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
301 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe ran out comfortable winners over Argentinos Juniors 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and on the day Union Santa Fe made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (74%) landed while under 2.5 goals (82%) missed.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 47% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 53%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.76 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.50 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors?

Union Santa Fe 3-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 32%, draw 35%, Argentinos Juniors 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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