Godoy Cruz 4-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.9
X/1
19%
3.5
X/2
8%
10.3
X/X
13%
3.85
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
7%
9.86
2/X
8%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.30/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.26
-20% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
19.9 Crosses 11.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
4-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.62 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
302 Passes 186
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
12 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz swept aside Deportivo Riestra 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Godoy Cruz as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.62 to 1.19.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Riestra?

Godoy Cruz 4-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 49%, draw 29%, Deportivo Riestra 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Godoy Cruz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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