Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

Defensa y Justicia
1-0 HT 0-0
Banfield
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.69
X/2
14%
5.94
X/X
14%
3.79
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
10%
4.78
2/X
10%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Banfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.42/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.07
+16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 69%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.5 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Banfield
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
238 Passes 254
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.04.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
27.08.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
06.03.2022 Banfield Banfield 2-3 HT 1-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
21.09.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
31.08.2019 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
12.03.2019 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-2 HT 2-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Banfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-0
AWAY Banfield
1.19 xG 0.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
259 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia squeezed past Banfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 45% of the ball to Banfield's 55%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.19 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.83 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield?

Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 39%, draw 30%, Banfield 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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