Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Feb 2025

Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.92/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.59
+20% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
14.7 Crosses 14.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.62 xG 2.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
243 Passes 374
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.12.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
03.03.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 5-3 HT 4-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.73 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
301 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) and Melbourne Victory (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 53% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 3.00 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 38%, draw 28%, Melbourne Victory (K) 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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