Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Wellington Phoenix (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Wellington Phoenix (K) and Melbourne Victory (K) with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (58%) landed.
On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in Wellington Phoenix (K)'s favour, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Wellington Phoenix (K) against 3.00 for Melbourne Victory (K).
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Result & Final Score
Wellington Phoenix (K) 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 36%, draw 27%, Melbourne Victory (K) 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.