Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.9pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.10/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+116% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mekelakeya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
21.04.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 HT 1-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-0
AWAY Mekelakeya
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna nicked a narrow win over Mekelakeya 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ethiopia Bunna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 35% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 65%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 35%, draw 33%, Mekelakeya 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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