Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 32%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-1
AWAY Mekelakeya
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna and Mekelakeya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Bunna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 45% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 55%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 42%, draw 24%, Mekelakeya 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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