Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.65/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/1.00
+58% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1-0
AWAY Sidama Bunna
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank squeezed past Sidama Bunna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 57% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 43%, shots finished 7-3.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 42%, draw 31%, Sidama Bunna 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5
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