Versailles 2-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 36% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
13%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.64
X/2
11%
7.25
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
5.71
2/X
4%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Versailles EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.45/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.60
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +121%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Versailles
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aubagne
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.09.2024 Aubagne Aubagne 3-3 HT 1-3 Versailles Versailles FR3
POST-MATCH Versailles vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Versailles saw off Aubagne 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Versailles made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Versailles vs Aubagne?

Versailles 2-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Versailles vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Versailles 40%, draw 28%, Aubagne 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Versailles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Versailles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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