Dijon 0-5 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 31% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.48
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
15%
6.19
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
10%
4.52
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +25%
1.40/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.26
+8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
22.01.2024 Dijon Dijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
21.08.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
11.01.2013 Dijon Dijon 3-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
03.08.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR2
05.03.2011 Dijon Dijon 3-2 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
0-5
AWAY Le Mans FC
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC cruised past Dijon 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dijon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dijon had 57% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 43%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dijon and 0.83 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Le Mans FC?

Dijon 0-5 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dijon 41%, draw 27%, Le Mans FC 32%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dijon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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