Dijon 1-1 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Jan 2024

Dijon
1-1 HT 0-1
Le Mans FC
📅22/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Dijon vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.05
X/1
13%
4.73
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
9%
4.4
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 12% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dijon v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.00/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.41
-31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Dijon vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.08.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
11.01.2013 Dijon Dijon 3-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
03.08.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR2
05.03.2011 Dijon Dijon 3-2 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
24.09.2010 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
18.03.2005 Dijon Dijon 0-2 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2

Dijon 1-1 Le Mans FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
1-1
AWAY Le Mans FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon and Le Mans FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dijon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dijon had 51% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dijon and 1.33 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Le Mans FC?

Dijon 1-1 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dijon 42%, draw 28%, Le Mans FC 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dijon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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