Versailles 0-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.02
6+ Goals
6%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 39% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.66
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
4%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
16%
5.59
X/X
17%
4.14
2/1
4%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.02
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Versailles EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.60/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.89
+31% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Versailles
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Martigues
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.08.2023 Martigues Martigues 2-1 HT 0-1 Versailles Versailles FR3
26.05.2023 Martigues Martigues 4-3 HT 2-3 Versailles Versailles FR3
12.08.2022 Versailles Versailles 2-1 HT 1-1 Martigues Martigues FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Versailles
0-1
AWAY Martigues
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Versailles vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues nicked a narrow win over Versailles 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Martigues made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Versailles had 52% of the ball to Martigues's 48%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Martigues led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Versailles and 2.33 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Versailles vs Martigues?

Versailles 0-1 Martigues in the France - National League 1 on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Versailles vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Versailles 40%, draw 27%, Martigues 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Versailles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Versailles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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