Ammanford 2-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.91
Over 2.5
62%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-10.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+10.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.2pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 50%
+19% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.50/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.42
-9% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.11.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
10.12.2021 Ammanford Ammanford 0-2 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
06.11.2021 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC edged past Ammanford 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ammanford and 3.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Ammanford 2-3 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 33%, draw 21%, Pontypridd Town AFC 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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