Havadar 2-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
7.47
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
17%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+6.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.53/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.89
-40% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
2 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
14.09.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
03.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
23.08.2023 Havadar Havadar 1-2 HT 1-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
21.01.2023 Havadar Havadar 1-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
12.08.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
06.03.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havadar nicked a narrow win over Aluminium Arak 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aluminium Arak at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havadar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Havadar and 0.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Aluminium Arak?

Havadar 2-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Havadar 26%, draw 30%, Aluminium Arak 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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