Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOLK
2-1
HT 2-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Deportes Tolima 3-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima saw off Alianza Petrolera 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 50% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.60 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera?
Deportes Tolima 3-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 55%, draw 27%, Alianza Petrolera 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.