Alianza Petrolera 0-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.39/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.24
+27% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.9 Crosses 13.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 239
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
17.08.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOLK
27.07.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOLK
07.05.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 2-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
13.10.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
25.04.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
0-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
316 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima got the better of Alianza Petrolera 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 50% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 50%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.50 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima?

Alianza Petrolera 0-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 34%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
30 Mar 2024
03:30 Junior vs La Equidad Analysis →
22:00 Envigado vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →