Envigado vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
3-2
HT 1-1
Envigado
KOL
Envigado 0-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional squeezed past Envigado 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Atletico Nacional made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Envigado had 53% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 47%, shots finished 2-19, expected goals 0.03 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 2.00 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Envigado vs Atletico Nacional?
Envigado 0-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Envigado 36%, draw 26%, Atletico Nacional 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.