Junior 1-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.45/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.22
+16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
16.4 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-3D-0L
AWAY La Equidad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.91 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.02.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
18.03.2022 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 2-1 La Equidad La Equidad CON CSA
11.03.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior CON CSA
30.01.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
1-0
AWAY La Equidad
1.93 xG 1.32
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
158 Passes 368
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 26
3 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior squeezed past La Equidad 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 33% of the ball to La Equidad's 67%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 1.93 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Junior and 0.17 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Junior vs La Equidad?

Junior 1-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Junior 52%, draw 28%, La Equidad 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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