Györi ETO 3-0 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.62
+35% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
14.6 Crosses 19.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.84 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 247
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
05.07.2019 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest HAZ
31.10.2018 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MACK
03.05.2015 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
19.10.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
27.04.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
3-0
AWAY Ujpest
1.41 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
296 Passes 287
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO ran out comfortable winners over Ujpest 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Györi ETO found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 50% of the ball to Ujpest's 50%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.41 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Györi ETO had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Györi ETO and 0.50 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Ujpest?

Györi ETO 3-0 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 39%, draw 25%, Ujpest 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Györi ETO), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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