Paksi SE 2-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -5%
1.82/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
29.8 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
3W-1D-2L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.06 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
298 Passes 312
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-2 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
13.04.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
16.12.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
02.09.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
11.03.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
22.10.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
2.07 xG 1.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE got the better of MOL Fehervar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paksi SE had 52% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 48%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.07 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paksi SE and 1.33 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs MOL Fehervar?

Paksi SE 2-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 48%, draw 24%, MOL Fehervar 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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