Paraguay U20 2-1 Şili U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili U20 EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Şili U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 2.06
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
182 Passes 409
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 2-1 HT 1-0 Şili U20 Şili U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay U20
2-1
AWAY Şili U20
0.72 xG 1.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
202 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paraguay U20 vs Şili U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U20 squeezed past Şili U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Şili U20 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paraguay U20 had 35% of the ball to Şili U20's 65%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.22 — on chances, Şili U20 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Paraguay U20 vs Şili U20?

Paraguay U20 2-1 Şili U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay U20 vs Şili U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Şili U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paraguay U20 33%, draw 23%, Şili U20 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Şili U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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