Uruguay U20 3-4 Arjantin U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.80/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.87/1.02
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
16.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arjantin U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
08.02.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 1-2 HT 1-1 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay U20
3-4
AWAY Arjantin U20
1.11 xG 2.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
231 Passes 302
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uruguay U20 vs Arjantin U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin U20 edged past Uruguay U20 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arjantin U20 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Uruguay U20 had 46% of the ball to Arjantin U20's 54%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.11 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Uruguay U20 vs Arjantin U20?

Uruguay U20 3-4 Arjantin U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay U20 vs Arjantin U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Uruguay U20 29%, draw 25%, Arjantin U20 46%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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