Al Kholood 3-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
13%
17.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 23% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.84/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.31
+73% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
14.7 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.48 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
318 Passes 255
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
31.01.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
30.08.2022 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
3-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.45 xG 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
318 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood squeezed past Al Riyadh 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 53% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 47%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.45 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Kholood and 1.33 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh?

Al Kholood 3-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 41%, draw 28%, Al Riyadh 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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