Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 3-0 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City overpowered Waterford FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 47%. At 1.68 (~60%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Derry City had 53% of the ball to Waterford FC's 47%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.37 to 0.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Derry City and 1.17 for Waterford FC.
Derry City vs Waterford FC Result & Final Score
Derry City 3 - 0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs Waterford FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Derry City 63%, draw 22%, Waterford FC 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.