Napoli 1-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
20%
3.75
X/2
8%
9.65
X/X
15%
4.41
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
14%
8.28
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.47/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.46
-2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.8 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Torino
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.71 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 329
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Torino Torino 3-0 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
19.03.2023 Torino Torino 0-4 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
01.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-1 HT 3-1 Torino Torino İTA
07.05.2022 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.10.2021 Napoli Napoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
26.04.2021 Torino Torino 0-2 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
1-1
AWAY Torino
1.58 xG 1.04
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 7
449 Passes 234
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli and Torino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Napoli at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napoli had 63% of the ball to Torino's 37%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.58 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Napoli and 0.67 for Torino.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Torino?

Napoli 1-1 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Napoli 45%, draw 27%, Torino 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Napoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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