Torino 3-0 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Jan 2024

Torino
3-0 HT 1-0
Napoli
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Torino vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.69
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.72
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
15%
5.18
X/2
10%
5.69
X/X
15%
3.76
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.25
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torino v Napoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.40/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.24
+11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.1 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Torino vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Napoli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.03.2023 Torino Torino 0-4 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
01.10.2022 Napoli Napoli 3-1 HT 3-1 Torino Torino İTA
07.05.2022 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.10.2021 Napoli Napoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
26.04.2021 Torino Torino 0-2 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
23.12.2020 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA

Torino 3-0 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
3-0
AWAY Napoli
2.08 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
372 Passes 373
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torino vs Napoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino ran out comfortable winners over Napoli 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Torino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torino had 50% of the ball to Napoli's 50%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.08 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Torino and 2.00 for Napoli.

What was the final score of Torino vs Napoli?

Torino 3-0 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Napoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Torino 35%, draw 32%, Napoli 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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