Udinese 1-2 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Jan 2024

Udinese
1-2 HT 0-1
Lazio
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.12
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
11%
6.54
X/2
18%
4.61
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.12
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Udinese v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.23/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.17
+3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
15.5 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Udinese vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lazio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
335 Passes 520
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.05.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.10.2022 Lazio Lazio 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
20.02.2022 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
18.01.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTK
02.12.2021 Lazio Lazio 4-4 HT 1-3 Udinese Udinese İTA
21.03.2021 Udinese Udinese 0-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA

Udinese 1-2 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
1-2
AWAY Lazio
0.75 xG 0.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio edged past Udinese 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Udinese had 47% of the ball to Lazio's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.75 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Udinese and 1.33 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Lazio?

Udinese 1-2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Udinese 31%, draw 24%, Lazio 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
7 Jan 2024
14:30 Empoli vs Milan Analysis →
17:00 Torino vs Napoli Analysis →
20:00 Salernitana vs Juventus Analysis →
22:45 Roma vs Atalanta Analysis →