Green Gully 2-4 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

Green Gully
2-4 HT 1-1
Altona Magic
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Green Gully vs Altona Magic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Green Gully v Altona Magic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
4.99/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.59
+15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
31.4 Crosses 20.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Green Gully vs Altona Magic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Altona Magic
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.06.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 5-2 HT 3-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
18.03.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-2 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
28.05.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-4 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
25.02.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
02.07.2021 Green Gully Green Gully 4-0 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
31.03.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic beat Green Gully 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Green Gully at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Green Gully had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Green Gully and 0.50 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Altona Magic?

Green Gully 2-4 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 61%, draw 22%, Altona Magic 17%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Green Gully) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
8 Mar 2024
11:30 South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Analysis →
11:30 Sydney II vs Central Coast II Analysis →
12:00 Campbelltown City vs NE MetroStars Analysis →
12:00 Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide Olympic Analysis →
12:00 Modbury Jets vs Croydon Kings Analysis →
12:30 Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong Thunder Analysis →