Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Western United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 8 Mar 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
1-3 HT 0-0
Western United
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.79
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.2
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
19%
4.47
X/2
8%
9.0
X/X
11%
6.45
2/1
7%
19.65
2/2
15%
5.73
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Western United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.67/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.72
+10% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Western United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
506 Passes 349
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Western United Western United 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
28.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-0 HT 5-0 Western United Western United AVUS
05.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Western United Western United AVUS
18.12.2022 Western United Western United 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
20.02.2022 Western United Western United 3-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
05.02.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Western United Western United AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Western United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
1-3
AWAY Western United
0.45 xG 2.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
393 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United got the better of Western Sydney Wanderers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney Wanderers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 55% of the ball to Western United's 45%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.45 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 0.83 for Western United.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United?

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Western United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 45%, draw 24%, Western United 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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