Western United 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 27 Jan 2024

Western United
0-1 HT 0-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
15%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.22
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.15
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
8%
6.73
X/2
12%
5.07
X/X
9%
5.6
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
23%
2.86
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.15 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.81/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.59
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
20.9 Crosses 27.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.70 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
362 Passes 488
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-0 HT 5-0 Western United Western United AVUS
05.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Western United Western United AVUS
18.12.2022 Western United Western United 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
20.02.2022 Western United Western United 3-2 HT 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
05.02.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Western United Western United AVUS
08.05.2021 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-0 HT 2-0 Western United Western United AVUS

Western United 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
0-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.26 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
439 Passes 401
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers edged past Western United 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western United had 51% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 49%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.26 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Western United and 2.17 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Western United 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Western United 33%, draw 24%, Western Sydney Wanderers 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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