Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Brisbane Roar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 27 Jan 2024

Central Coast Mariners
2-0 HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.73
1/2
4%
58.0
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
23%
3.8
X/2
9%
13.15
X/X
6%
7.22
2/1
6%
19.55
2/2
12%
9.21
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.19/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.07
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.7 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brisbane Roar
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
361 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
12.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 1-2 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
01.04.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS
10.02.2023 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 1-2 HT 1-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
03.05.2022 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
05.03.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2-0
AWAY Brisbane Roar
1.19 xG 0.89
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
329 Passes 491
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners beat Brisbane Roar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central Coast Mariners as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 41% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 59%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.19 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 0.83 for Brisbane Roar.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?

Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 57%, draw 18%, Brisbane Roar 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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