Beerschot VA 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.7pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.58/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.47
-10% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
440 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.0 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.75 xG 1.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-3 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
05.03.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
04.02.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
28.08.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beerschot VA
2-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.20 xG 0.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
515 Passes 220
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 3
15 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA squeezed past Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Beerschot VA had 66% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 34%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.20 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beerschot VA and 1.25 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Beerschot VA 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 48%, draw 25%, Lierse Kempenzonen 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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