Patro Eisden 2-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 30%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.29/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
+44% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
13.3 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.50 xG 0.25
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
135 Passes 372
57% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-1 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
2-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.50 xG 1.72
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
195 Passes 345
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden and KRC Genk II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Patro Eisden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 41% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 59%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.50 to 1.72.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II?

Patro Eisden 2-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 45%, draw 26%, KRC Genk II 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Patro Eisden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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