Santa Cruz 1-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 8 Mar 2024

Santa Cruz
1-1 HT 1-0
Guabira
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Santa Cruz vs Guabira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-9.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Cruz v Guabira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.91/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-33% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.8 Crosses –
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Santa Cruz vs Guabira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guabira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
182 Passes 251
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
10.08.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-3 HT 1-2 Guabira Guabira BOLPLK
30.07.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
25.02.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
22.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
13.02.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-2 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ

Santa Cruz 1-1 Guabira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
1-1
AWAY Guabira
0.49 xG 0.78
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
151 Passes 298
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz and Guabira shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 37% of the ball to Guabira's 63%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.49 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Cruz and 1.33 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Guabira?

Santa Cruz 1-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 34%, draw 29%, Guabira 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guabira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Under 2.5
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